Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.189615 0.211919 0.235102 0.260942 0.288882 0.318125 0.350990
2025-01-19 0.158182 0.188349 0.221163 0.259321 0.302278 0.348952 0.403302
2025-01-26 0.137286 0.172812 0.213005 0.261441 0.317810 0.380927 0.456510
2025-02-02 0.124140 0.164182 0.211075 0.269346 0.339081 0.419128 0.517191
2025-02-09 0.110198 0.152882 0.204546 0.270617 0.351746 0.446990 0.566066
2025-02-16 0.099709 0.144613 0.200637 0.274163 0.366528 0.477119 0.617827
2025-02-23 0.093452 0.141005 0.201939 0.283723 0.388484 0.516015 0.680669
2025-03-02 0.083347 0.131279 0.194486 0.281362 0.394931 0.535574 0.719891
2025-03-09 0.075516 0.123887 0.189411 0.281470 0.404061 0.558238 0.763004
2025-03-16 0.068123 0.116405 0.183574 0.279984 0.410681 0.577486 0.801835
2025-03-23 0.063880 0.113098 0.183164 0.285579 0.426517 0.608611 0.856089
2025-03-30 0.058704 0.107915 0.179679 0.286575 0.435960 0.631382 0.899783
2025-04-06 0.053513 0.102466 0.175726 0.287051 0.445152 0.654666 0.945556
2025-04-13 0.048331 0.096549 0.170658 0.285577 0.451438 0.674077 0.986507
2025-04-20 0.044633 0.092717 0.168437 0.288016 0.463102 0.700801 1.037507
2025-04-27 0.042696 0.091676 0.170400 0.296615 0.483614 0.739842 1.105562
2025-05-04 0.039354 0.087872 0.167735 0.298036 0.493722 0.764689 1.154784
2025-05-11 0.036811 0.085248 0.166757 0.301884 0.507316 0.794479 1.211075
2025-05-18 0.035721 0.085194 0.169928 0.312185 0.530548 0.838041 1.286798
2025-05-25 0.032358 0.080515 0.165099 0.309658 0.534560 0.854524 1.325350
2025-06-01 0.029756 0.077047 0.162071 0.309779 0.542407 0.876436 1.371609
2025-06-08 0.027107 0.073204 0.158132 0.308185 0.547483 0.894335 1.412382
2025-06-15 0.025830 0.072066 0.158866 0.314204 0.564276 0.929303 1.477548